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Truth #14 : If the Mainstream Media Thinks There’s a Chance We May Be Right about Roevember, Watch Out. We’re here to support a woman’s right to choose,” said Lisa LoBiondo, DeGroot’s campaign manager. “The Republican Party is supposed to be the big tent party, and all are welcome. We have pro-life people, we have pro-choice people.”
Framing the upcoming vote as a mass uprising of nonviolent civil resistance is exactly Moore's plan. As he explains , his goal isn't just to offer the public another version of the truth; it is also to call out the problems with media coverage. "Much of what many in the media are telling you is patently false and just plain wrong," he writes. "They are simply regurgitating old narratives and stale scripts. They are either too overworked or too lazy or too white and too male to open their eyes and see the liberal/ left/progressive/working class and female uprising that is right now underway." It’s a cute story. But as I’ve been pointing out for weeks now, Dobbs won’t save the Democrats in November. Dobbs wasn’t helping Democrats enough even when gas prices were going lower. Now, they’re trending up again and may continue to do so through Election Day.
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In fact, for a while, it appeared as though the nature of the 2022 midterm elections had changed. According to polls, liberal women with a soft spot for abortion were more motivated to vote than before. In the grocery store last month, I noticed a rather homely woman sporting a “See you in Roevember” t-shirt. A national poll conducted for the Wall Street Journal just before Labor Day indicated the nullification of Roe v. Wade had replaced the economy as the issue most likely to drive voters to the polls. The survey also showed that Democrats have a 20-point edge over the GOP on abortion policy. If I am ever, as a woman, going to have freedom in this country, then I need to make sure that we re-implement the protections under Roe across the nation,” Sherrill said to a hundreds-strong crowd. “You can’t be pro-choice if one woman in this nation isn’t protected.” The Republican advantage on the likelihood of participation question is in line with historical precedent, where the out-of-power party is more motivated to show up in a midterm election,” Morning Consult explains. We can observe many of the same habits when the press covers elections. And given that this election in particular could be understood as a protest vote — protesting the assault on women's rights, LGBTQ rights, immigrants' rights, democratic rights, etc. — it makes sense to think of this election more in terms of a mass movement than as an example of democracy as usual.
Did not a single one of these right-wing judges and politicians realize women were now allowed to vote? That it’s been that way since 1920? The Supreme Court, while they were at it in June, should’ve taken that right away from them, too. History will note that fatal mistake of theirs became their undoing. That prediction is likely to cause hyperventilation at all points of the political spectrum. Could he really be right? So here is the unsurprising, uncomplicated reality of abortion in this country: The majority of Americans support abortion access and most people who have abortions align themselves with religious groups that either explicitly seek to outlaw abortion or that doctrinally disavow abortion as a pregnancy choice. I call this tension “uncomplicated” because when most folks do not want to be pregnant, evidence shows that they will seek not to be, whatever their political or religious persuasion. People’s actual actions around abortion show that they believe in their own access to it, whether or not they’d admit it to a pollster, or ever vote for pro-choice lawmakers. And lots of other folks have no religious qualms with abortion at all! Yet here we are, a nation of people who have long believed that our government shouldn’t force people to stay pregnant against their will, staring down total abortion bans in over a dozen states and significant restrictions in a half-dozen more, because voter suppression, disenfranchisement, gerrymandering, and abortion stigma have deeply warped the way that the U.S. regulates, and, in many cases, outlaws abortion care.
In his next "tsunami of truth," Moore reminded readers that despite all the ways that the media tends to make the American right seem massively powerful, they're really just a big bunch of losers. Republicans have lost the popular vote in seven of the eight last presidential elections. As Moore explains it, "Only because of the slave states' demand for the Electoral College — and the Republicans' #1 job of gerrymandering and voter suppression — do we even have to still deal with their misogyny, their destruction of Planet Earth, their love of guns and greed, and their laser-focused mission to bury our Democracy." A handful of others wore shirts displaying the same message as county Dems gathered for a barbecue in the Brookside section of this Morris County town. If the patriarchy of the Republican Party, along with their white Supremacist co-horts and Catholic Church funders, didn’t understand the raging fire they had ignited, well, they do now. I mean, how angry, how committed do you have to be to drive to the polls on a near 100-degree day, stand in line for an hour — and then just go in and mark a single “X” on the ballot?!
Women in states like California, Illinois and New York who thought they had nothing to fear from draconian state bans on reproductive rights in places like Texas, Idaho and Alabama now have lots to worry about, thanks to the ranking member of the Senate Judiciary Committee.
And yet post- Dobbs , it is these same center- and center-right swing voters, especially white women, who political commentators are relying on to define November’s electoral outcome, expecting them to switch parties away from their reliable GOP home. This was political folly in Texas in 2014, and it was political folly nationally in 2016, and it will be political folly in 2022. Certainly it is possible that Republican women are angry about the end of abortion rights, even as they have spent years voting for lawmakers who promised to end same. It is very hard to affirmatively change a long-held political affiliation in a matter of weeks or months, and especially hard to accept that hardships you thought other people deserved might soon apply to you and your family. Those realizations are meaningful, but bound to encounter more than a few months’ worth of resistance.
The most recent hit to GOP was a Democratic victory in a special congressional election in a competitive suburban district in New York. The winning Democratic candidate, Pat Ryan, made his campaign a referendum on the Dobbs decision, and it paid off big time. The new member of Congress might have won an even more decisive victory if Graham had proposed his national abortion ban before the special election Further, if the news media tells you the results are a foregone conclusion , that also depresses turnout. I mean, if you are told over and over again that you are going to lose no matter what you do, why bother voting? Even more important, research shows that if the media suggests an election will be close, turnout increases. Some scholars have speculated that the fact that right-wing news outlets reported that the election was close in 2016 elevated the Trump vote, while smug reporting from more liberal outlets, assuming Clinton would win easily, depressed her vote. Sherrill seemed to be referencing her opponent, former Assistant Passaic County Prosecutor Paul DeGroot, who has said he agrees with the Supreme Court’s decision but who has also called himself a “pro-choice Republican.” In fact, a delegation from DeGroot’s campaign came to today’s rally, though the candidate himself was unable to attend. The high court ruling opened a Pandora’s box of horrors and GOP ideological excesses that eliminated reproductive rights for millions of women living in the South and the Mountain West. Now Graham wants to extend a ban nationwide.The Day has arrived. The verdict will soon be rendered. I have only one vote. So do you. But all of us together decide where we want the country to go.
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